Canada’s providers PMI reveals exercise shrinking at year-end

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO (Reuters) – Canada’s providers economic system deteriorated for the primary time in three months in December as a postal employees’ strike weighed on exercise and work excellent tumbled, S&P World’s Canada providers PMI information confirmed on Monday.

The headline enterprise exercise index fell to 48.2 from 51.2 in November, shifting beneath the 50.0 no-change mark for the primary time since September. A studying beneath 50 reveals a contraction in exercise.

“Canada’s providers economic system ended 2024 on a subdued observe,” Paul Smith, economics director at S&P World Market Intelligence, mentioned in an announcement.

“The downturn was considerably exacerbated by postal strikes, though underlying demand was nonetheless reported to have disenchanted, with shoppers mentioned to be cautious and unwilling to decide to new work as 2024 ended.”

A month-long strike by Canadian postal employees led to mid-December after the nation’s labor relations board ordered an finish to the work stoppage.

The brand new enterprise index fell to 46.4 from 50.1 in November and the measure of recent export enterprise was at 39.7, its lowest stage since December 2020.

U.S. President-elect Donald Trump has threatened to impose a 25% tariff on all imports from Canada.

“A excessive diploma of extra capability was additionally obvious within the providers economic system, with corporations simply capable of carry on prime of their workloads in response to the most recent PMI information,” Smith mentioned.

The excellent enterprise index fell to its lowest stage in 4 years at 44.6. The extent of financial slack has anxious the Financial institution of Canada, which final month slashed its benchmark rate of interest by half a proportion level to three.25%.

The S&P World Canada Composite PMI Output Index fell to 49.0 final month from 51.5 in November because the downturn within the providers economic system offset a fourth straight month of elevated manufacturing facility exercise.

Knowledge final Thursday confirmed that Canada’s manufacturing PMI rose to a 22-month excessive of 52.2 in December as stock accumulation by U.S. shoppers in anticipation of commerce tariffs offered a measure of assist for export gross sales.